Sporting Braga vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
29.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
FCP
6 - 1
SPB
75%
14%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
SPB
1 - 3
BOA
61%
19%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
ATL
3 - 0
SPB
73%
15%
13%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
SPB
1 - 0
ATL
49%
22%
29%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
ATL
2 - 1
SPB
73%
15%
13%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
SPC
0 - 0
ORI
71%
15%
14%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
SLB
4 - 1
SPC
86%
9%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
SPC
5 - 5
SLB
27%
20%
54%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
SLB
4 - 1
SPC
88%
8%
5%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1951 |
SPC
5 - 1
ATL
46%
22%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |