Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 2-1
Sporting Braga vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
MPT
0 - 5
SPB
15%
18%
68%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
SPB
2 - 0
MPT
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
SPB
2 - 2
RAY
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SPB
2 - 1
AND
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
SPB
4 - 1
BRA
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
3 - 1
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SER
3 - 2
YVE
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SER
3 - 1
YOB
42%
26%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 2
SER
35%
26%
40%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 1
SER
15%
21%
65%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | -1 |