Sporting Braga vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SPB
2 - 1
SCP
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
BMA
1 - 2
SPB
21%
26%
53%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
SPB
29%
27%
43%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2011 |
OLH
3 - 4
SPB
21%
27%
52%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2011 |
BRU
1 - 1
SPB
35%
26%
40%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
SCF
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 2
PEN
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
PEN
50%
24%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 1
AVE
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 1
SPC
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |