Sporting Braga vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
SAL
0 - 2
SPB
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
SPB
1 - 1
SLB
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
SPC
1 - 3
SPB
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
SPB
3 - 2
VAR
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
SPB
67%
18%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
PEN
1 - 1
CHA
37%
31%
33%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
AVE
2 - 2
PEN
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
POR
2 - 0
PEN
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
ACA
0 - 1
PEN
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
PEN
0 - 0
SAL
42%
32%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |