Sporting Braga vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
10.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 0
SPB
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
SPB
4 - 0
SAL
68%
19%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
FAR
0 - 0
SPB
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
TOT
6 - 0
SPB
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
SPB
2 - 0
ACA
70%
21%
9%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
PEN
1 - 1
VIZ
47%
28%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
BEL
2 - 1
PEN
58%
26%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
PEN
2 - 0
SCP
14%
26%
60%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | +3 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
POR
4 - 0
PEN
65%
23%
12%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
VAR
4 - 0
PEN
60%
24%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |