Sporting Braga vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1980 |
VAR
2 - 0
SPB
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
SPB
2 - 3
RIO
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
VST
3 - 1
SPB
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
SPB
1 - 1
SLB
22%
28%
51%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
POR
3 - 1
SPB
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1980 |
PEN
1 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
VST
5 - 0
PEN
62%
19%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1979 |
PEN
1 - 3
FAF
73%
15%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
FAF
1 - 1
PEN
41%
22%
37%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
VIL
0 - 2
PEN
30%
23%
46%
|
65 | 24 | 41 | 0 |