Sporting Braga vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
POR
0 - 3
SPB
23%
26%
52%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
SCP
2 - 1
SPB
56%
24%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
SPB
3 - 1
VIT
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2010 |
SPB
5 - 0
ACA
64%
22%
15%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPB
59%
23%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
SCP
2 - 3
PAÇ
75%
17%
9%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 0
PAÇ
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
ARO
2 - 3
PAÇ
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
PAÇ
0 - 3
FCP
20%
24%
57%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 1
PAÇ
57%
25%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |