Sporting Braga vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
MAR
0 - 0
SPB
53%
27%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
SPB
2 - 1
TOR
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
EST
1 - 0
SPB
35%
31%
34%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1991 |
SPB
1 - 1
SCP
26%
28%
46%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
VIT
2 - 1
SPB
57%
26%
17%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
FAM
63%
23%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
FCP
2 - 0
PAÇ
83%
11%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
PAÇ
3 - 0
CHA
52%
27%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
FAR
1 - 0
PAÇ
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
MAR
1 - 0
PAÇ
47%
28%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |