Sporting Braga vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
SLB
5 - 0
SPB
87%
9%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
SPB
0 - 0
ATL
49%
23%
28%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
SPC
1 - 0
SPB
65%
18%
16%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
SPB
2 - 0
FCP
27%
24%
49%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
BOA
1 - 0
SPB
61%
20%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
ORI
1 - 0
ACA
54%
21%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
ORI
1 - 3
SLB
18%
17%
65%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
ATL
1 - 2
ORI
80%
12%
8%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
ORI
1 - 4
SPC
41%
22%
37%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
FCP
6 - 2
ORI
88%
8%
4%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |