Sporting Braga vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
FCP
2 - 0
SPB
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
ACA
1 - 0
SPB
44%
26%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
SPB
1 - 1
FCP
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2003 |
VST
2 - 2
SPB
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
SPB
4 - 1
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 0
PAÇ
41%
27%
33%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
NAC
0 - 1
BOA
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
BEL
0 - 0
NAC
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
NAC
1 - 1
SCP
17%
21%
62%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
SPB
4 - 1
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |