Sporting Braga vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
UNM
1 - 1
SPB
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1991 |
SPB
1 - 0
EST
51%
27%
23%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1991 |
BEL
1 - 1
SPB
64%
22%
13%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1990 |
BOA
2 - 0
SPB
66%
22%
13%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1990 |
SPB
3 - 0
SAL
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
NAC
1 - 3
FAM
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1991 |
VST
2 - 0
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1991 |
NAC
3 - 1
FAR
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1990 |
UNM
1 - 0
NAC
44%
28%
29%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1990 |
NAC
0 - 0
EST
52%
27%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |