Sporting Braga vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1989 |
CHA
1 - 1
SPB
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
SPB
2 - 2
FAF
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
SPB
1 - 0
BMA
60%
24%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
LEX
0 - 0
SPB
31%
30%
39%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
SLB
3 - 1
SPB
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1989 |
NAC
0 - 0
BMA
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
LEX
2 - 2
NAC
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
NAC
0 - 1
FCP
30%
26%
45%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
SLB
1 - 0
NAC
79%
14%
8%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
NAC
0 - 1
BEL
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |