Sporting Braga vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
4º
9º
4º
7
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 75 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 69 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 69 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 68 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 61 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 52 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 50 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 43 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 40 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 39 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 35 |
15º
|
5.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 28 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 27 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
10% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
25% | 1.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
20% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
17.5% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
27.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
SPB
2 - 1
RAP
62%
20%
17%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BOA
0 - 1
SPB
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
SER
1 - 2
SPB
26%
23%
51%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 1
ESA
75%
17%
9%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
SPB
0 - 0
SER
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 1
ARO
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FAR
1 - 2
MOR
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FAM
3 - 2
MOR
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 0
PAÇ
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 0
PEN
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |