Sporting Braga vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
SAN
1 - 0
SPB
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
SPB
0 - 0
SAL
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
SPB
0 - 0
VIT
62%
21%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
FAR
2 - 2
SPB
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2002 |
SPB
1 - 0
GFC
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2002 |
LEX
3 - 1
POR
45%
26%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
MOR
1 - 2
LEX
47%
25%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2001 |
LEX
3 - 1
VAR
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
VAR
2 - 2
LEX
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2000 |
SCP
4 - 1
LEX
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | -1 |