Super Cup Final
Global 1-2
Sporting Braga vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
FAR
0 - 2
SPB
35%
29%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1998 |
SPB
2 - 1
BMA
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
FCP
1 - 0
SPB
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1998 |
FCP
3 - 1
SPB
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
SPB
2 - 0
SCP
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
BMA
2 - 1
FCP
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
FCP
4 - 0
RIO
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
FCP
1 - 0
SPB
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1998 |
FCP
3 - 1
SPB
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
MAR
3 - 2
FCP
23%
24%
54%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |