Sporting Braga vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
46.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
MAR
1 - 0
SPB
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
SPB
1 - 0
SWA
30%
23%
47%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
SPB
1 - 2
VIT
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1982 |
SWA
3 - 0
SPB
73%
16%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1982 |
SCP
4 - 0
SPB
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
FCP
0 - 0
SCP
63%
21%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
POR
1 - 2
FCP
26%
29%
45%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
FCP
2 - 0
SCP
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
BOA
0 - 6
FCP
30%
30%
41%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
RIO
0 - 2
FCP
25%
27%
49%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |