Sporting Braga vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
10%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
48.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
ACV
2 - 0
SPB
38%
29%
34%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
SPB
1 - 1
BEL
59%
24%
18%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
SCP
3 - 1
SPB
77%
15%
7%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
SPB
1 - 0
RIO
63%
21%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
EST
1 - 1
SPB
36%
32%
32%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
FCP
3 - 0
UDL
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
VEJ
2 - 1
FCP
23%
27%
50%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
ACV
0 - 1
FCP
9%
21%
70%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
FCP
1 - 0
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCP
20%
30%
50%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |