Sporting Braga vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
45.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
EST
1 - 0
SPB
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
SPB
5 - 0
VST
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
SPB
6 - 1
MAR
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
ACA
0 - 1
SPB
55%
24%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
SPB
0 - 0
SLB
24%
27%
50%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
FCP
4 - 2
ACA
85%
11%
5%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
SLB
0 - 0
FCP
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 3
FCP
12%
19%
70%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
FCP
3 - 2
POR
90%
7%
3%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
ESP
2 - 2
FCP
14%
19%
67%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |