Sporting Braga vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
49.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
VST
3 - 0
SPB
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
SPB
0 - 0
VIT
30%
29%
42%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
EST
1 - 0
SPB
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
SPB
4 - 0
ATL
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
SPB
0 - 0
BMA
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
FCP
6 - 1
FAR
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
BEL
1 - 0
FCP
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
FCP
5 - 1
ACA
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
UFT
0 - 5
FCP
28%
27%
45%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
FCP
2 - 3
SLB
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |