Sporting Braga vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
51.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
VST
3 - 2
SPB
56%
20%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
SPB
1 - 1
SCP
20%
18%
62%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
EST
1 - 2
SPB
84%
10%
7%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SPB
2 - 0
LUS
74%
15%
11%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
VIT
3 - 1
SPB
64%
17%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
FCP
5 - 1
SPC
85%
9%
6%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
OLH
6 - 1
FCP
39%
22%
39%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
VST
3 - 0
FCP
29%
22%
49%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
FCP
2 - 1
SCP
34%
21%
46%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
EST
1 - 0
FCP
52%
20%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |