Sporting Braga vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
54.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1948 |
SPB
2 - 0
VST
67%
17%
16%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
SPB
3 - 4
SLB
17%
18%
66%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
BEL
5 - 0
SPB
87%
8%
5%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
SPB
0 - 1
OLH
53%
20%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
SPB
3 - 1
LUS
76%
14%
10%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
FCP
3 - 1
BOA
74%
14%
13%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1948 |
OEL
2 - 0
FCP
23%
20%
57%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
EST
5 - 1
FCP
61%
18%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
FCP
1 - 0
SCP
36%
20%
44%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
ATL
3 - 2
FCP
36%
21%
43%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |