Sporting Braga vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
45.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
VST
1 - 1
SPB
41%
22%
38%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
SPB
2 - 1
ACA
75%
13%
12%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
SLB
6 - 1
SPB
91%
6%
3%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1943 |
LIS
4 - 0
SPB
27%
22%
51%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | -2 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
FCP
7 - 3
OLH
70%
15%
15%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
BOA
0 - 3
FCP
26%
19%
55%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
FCP
4 - 0
OEL
86%
8%
6%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1947 |
FCP
1 - 0
ATL
76%
13%
11%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
BOA
3 - 3
FCP
25%
19%
56%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |