Sporting Braga vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
34.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
FCP
5 - 0
SPB
79%
13%
8%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
SPB
2 - 2
SLB
16%
19%
65%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
BEL
2 - 1
SPB
75%
15%
10%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
SPB
3 - 5
SCP
15%
19%
67%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
VST
2 - 1
SPB
58%
21%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
FCB
1 - 1
SLB
21%
21%
58%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCB
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
FCB
2 - 1
SCP
20%
20%
60%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
VST
0 - 1
FCB
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
FCB
4 - 0
BOA
61%
19%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |