Sporting Braga vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
BEL
0 - 0
SPB
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
SPB
1 - 0
ACA
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
UFT
1 - 4
SPB
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
SPB
0 - 3
FCP
23%
28%
49%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
VST
3 - 0
SPB
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
SLB
3 - 0
FAR
90%
8%
3%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
FAR
1 - 3
BEL
38%
29%
33%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
ACA
4 - 0
FAR
65%
21%
13%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
FAR
2 - 0
UFT
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
FCP
6 - 1
FAR
83%
12%
5%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |