Sporting Braga vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
SPB
1 - 0
BMA
60%
24%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
LEX
0 - 0
SPB
31%
30%
39%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
SLB
3 - 1
SPB
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
SPB
0 - 1
FCP
22%
30%
48%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
SLB
1 - 0
SPB
74%
18%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
FAF
1 - 0
VIT
35%
30%
35%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
BMA
1 - 1
FAF
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
FAF
2 - 1
ESP
47%
29%
25%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
LEX
1 - 1
FAF
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
FAF
0 - 0
PEN
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |