Sporting Braga vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
VIT
5 - 0
SPB
74%
17%
10%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
SPB
1 - 4
SCP
27%
28%
45%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
ATL
1 - 2
SPB
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
SPB
1 - 0
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
LEX
2 - 0
SPB
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
FAB
1 - 1
BEL
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
SLB
1 - 0
FAB
89%
8%
3%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
FAB
0 - 1
FCP
33%
26%
40%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
ACA
1 - 1
FAB
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
FAB
2 - 0
UFT
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |