Sporting Braga vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1966 |
SPB
3 - 2
AEK
45%
21%
34%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
ACA
2 - 1
SPB
64%
19%
17%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
AEK
0 - 1
SPB
64%
17%
19%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
SPB
1 - 0
ATL
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
SCP
0 - 0
SPB
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
FAB
1 - 0
BMA
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
ACA
2 - 3
FAB
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
FAB
2 - 0
BEL
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
FAB
7 - 3
FCB
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
BMA
1 - 3
FAB
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |