Sporting Braga vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
SCP
3 - 4
SPB
78%
13%
10%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
SPB
5 - 0
LGC
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
SPB
3 - 1
FCP
36%
22%
42%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
FCP
3 - 0
SPB
84%
10%
6%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1958 |
SPB
4 - 1
VST
62%
19%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
FAB
2 - 2
FCB
54%
22%
24%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
BEL
3 - 0
FAB
79%
13%
8%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
VST
1 - 0
FAB
71%
16%
14%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
FAB
2 - 2
VST
56%
20%
25%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1958 |
FAB
0 - 2
FCB
61%
20%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |