Sporting Braga vs CF Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
12%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2008 |
SPB
3 - 0
OPA
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 0
SPB
42%
28%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
PET
0 - 2
SPB
47%
26%
28%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SPB
1 - 1
NAV
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
LEX
2 - 0
SPB
28%
29%
43%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
EST
1 - 0
TRO
58%
26%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 2
EST
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
EST
0 - 0
MAR
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
VST
1 - 0
EST
61%
24%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
EST
1 - 0
ACA
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |