Sporting Braga vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
CAM
1 - 1
SPB
30%
27%
44%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
SPB
2 - 0
AVE
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
PAÇ
4 - 2
SPB
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2000 |
SPB
2 - 0
SAL
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
BEL
2 - 1
SPB
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
CAS
2 - 1
EST
58%
21%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
LEC
0 - 0
EST
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
EST
2 - 0
MAI
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
VAR
3 - 1
EST
59%
24%
18%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
EST
0 - 1
GFC
26%
29%
45%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |