Sporting Braga vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 2
SPB
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1975 |
SPB
0 - 5
BOA
35%
24%
42%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -2 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
SPB
1 - 0
FAR
56%
22%
21%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
SPB
0 - 2
SCP
26%
25%
49%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1970 |
SCP
6 - 1
SPB
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
EST
2 - 0
FAR
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1953 |
EST
0 - 1
VIT
65%
18%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
VIT
3 - 2
EST
55%
20%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
EST
3 - 2
VIT
65%
18%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
EST
2 - 5
FCB
48%
23%
29%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |