Sporting Braga vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
BEL
4 - 0
SPB
70%
17%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
SPB
3 - 0
ORI
62%
19%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
VST
0 - 3
SPB
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
SPB
2 - 0
SPC
47%
21%
32%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
FCP
3 - 1
SPB
75%
14%
11%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1951 |
OLH
3 - 2
EST
48%
21%
31%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
EST
5 - 1
ATL
53%
21%
26%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
SCP
5 - 3
EST
86%
8%
5%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
EST
0 - 7
SLB
24%
20%
56%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
EST
1 - 3
BOA
73%
15%
13%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |