Sporting Braga vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
39.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
LUS
0 - 1
SPB
44%
23%
33%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
SPB
1 - 1
VIT
58%
19%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
OEL
4 - 1
SPB
55%
20%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
SPB
3 - 1
ACA
66%
17%
17%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
SLB
4 - 2
SPB
89%
7%
4%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
EST
6 - 1
SPC
73%
14%
13%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1950 |
EST
0 - 1
OLH
67%
17%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
FCP
3 - 0
EST
61%
18%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
EST
2 - 5
VST
70%
16%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
SCP
5 - 1
EST
80%
11%
9%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |