Sporting Braga vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
KON
1 - 1
SPB
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 3
SPB
7%
17%
76%
|
83 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 1
SPB
25%
28%
47%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
SHA
2 - 0
SPB
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SPB
2 - 1
VST
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
UNM
0 - 1
CHA
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 1
BEL
30%
29%
42%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 2
SLB
11%
21%
68%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ARO
0 - 1
CHA
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
VST
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |