Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 6-4
Sporting Braga vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
SPB
2 - 1
MAR
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1989 |
CHA
3 - 3
SPB
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
ACV
1 - 5
SPB
31%
32%
36%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
SPB
1 - 1
POR
58%
25%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1989 |
SPB
1 - 0
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
CHA
5 - 0
ACV
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1989 |
CHA
3 - 3
SPB
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
POR
3 - 1
CHA
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
CHA
1 - 0
VIT
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1989 |
JOA
1 - 3
CHA
14%
23%
62%
|
73 | 27 | 46 | 0 |