Sporting Braga vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
AVE
2 - 1
SPB
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1986 |
BEL
2 - 0
SPB
50%
22%
28%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
SPB
2 - 1
PEN
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
SAL
0 - 2
SPB
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
SPB
1 - 1
SLB
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
CHA
1 - 0
POR
53%
26%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
CHA
2 - 0
AVE
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
PEN
1 - 1
CHA
37%
31%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
CHA
0 - 0
BEL
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
CHA
0 - 2
SAL
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |