Sporting Braga vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
GFC
3 - 3
SPB
16%
20%
65%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 2
RMA
13%
20%
68%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
REB
0 - 2
SPB
5%
15%
80%
|
88 | 45 | 43 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SPB
2 - 1
RIO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
FCU
2 - 3
SPB
32%
25%
43%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SLB
1 - 1
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RAB
0 - 2
CAS
8%
18%
75%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
ESA
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
GFC
2 - 0
CAS
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
NAC
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |