Europa League Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Sporting Braga vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
SPB
0 - 0
UDL
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
SPB
61%
22%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
SPB
31%
27%
42%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
SPB
0 - 0
DYN
53%
24%
22%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
SPB
3 - 1
VIT
64%
22%
15%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
OLH
1 - 1
SLB
12%
20%
68%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
SPB
61%
22%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
PAÇ
79%
13%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
SLB
1 - 3
FCP
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
BMA
82%
12%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |