Sporting Braga vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
55.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
SPB
0 - 2
VIT
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
FCP
5 - 0
SPB
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
SPB
1 - 0
LEC
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
MAR
1 - 1
SPB
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
SPB
1 - 0
RIO
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
SLB
1 - 2
BEL
76%
17%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
VIT
1 - 0
SLB
28%
25%
48%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1997 |
SLB
1 - 2
FCP
51%
25%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1997 |
LEC
1 - 5
SLB
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
SLB
0 - 0
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |