Sporting Braga vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
52.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
SPC
1 - 3
SPB
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
SPB
67%
18%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
SPB
3 - 2
VAR
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
SPB
2 - 2
VST
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
VIT
5 - 3
SPB
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1986 |
SLB
2 - 1
DUK
82%
11%
6%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
SLB
4 - 0
CHA
86%
10%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
SLB
5 - 0
SCP
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
AVE
0 - 1
SLB
9%
18%
73%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1986 |
DUK
1 - 0
SLB
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |