Sporting Braga vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
50.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1980 |
POR
3 - 1
SPB
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
SPB
1 - 0
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
SPB
2 - 1
ESP
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
BOA
1 - 0
SPB
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
SPB
3 - 1
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1980 |
SLB
4 - 3
ESP
94%
5%
2%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
VAR
1 - 2
SLB
22%
27%
51%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
BOA
1 - 1
SLB
26%
28%
46%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
SLB
4 - 0
VAR
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
SCP
3 - 1
SLB
47%
27%
27%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |