Sporting Braga vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
48.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
VAR
3 - 2
SPB
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
SPB
1 - 1
FCP
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
FCB
5 - 1
SPB
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
UFT
1 - 1
SPB
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
VST
7 - 1
SPB
84%
12%
5%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
SLB
1 - 1
SCP
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
BOA
1 - 1
SLB
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
SLB
0 - 1
FAB
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
32%
27%
41%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
SLB
0 - 0
BEL
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |