Sporting Braga vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
55%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1966 |
GYO
3 - 0
SPB
62%
18%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPB
25%
22%
53%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
SPB
2 - 0
FCP
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
SPB
1 - 1
FAB
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1966 |
SPB
3 - 2
AEK
45%
21%
34%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1966 |
SLB
3 - 0
SPA
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1966 |
SPA
1 - 1
SLB
17%
21%
63%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
SLB
2 - 1
ACA
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
ATL
1 - 2
SLB
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
SLB
3 - 0
SCP
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |