Sporting Braga vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
66.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
BEL
2 - 1
SPB
70%
17%
12%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
TOR
5 - 0
SPB
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
SPB
2 - 3
ACA
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
FAB
4 - 1
SPB
72%
16%
12%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
SPB
1 - 1
LEX
54%
23%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1965 |
SLB
5 - 1
RMA
50%
22%
29%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACA
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
FAB
2 - 0
SLB
22%
21%
57%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
SLB
5 - 0
LEX
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
SCP
2 - 2
SLB
37%
23%
41%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |