Sporting Braga vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
52.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
FCB
2 - 4
SPB
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
SPB
1 - 1
BEL
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
SPC
2 - 0
SPB
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
SPB
1 - 1
FAB
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
SPB
0 - 4
FCP
26%
24%
50%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1960 |
UJP
2 - 1
SLB
34%
23%
43%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
SLB
1 - 0
SCP
66%
18%
16%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
FAB
1 - 3
SLB
21%
22%
57%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
SLB
5 - 0
LGC
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1960 |
SLB
6 - 2
UJP
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |