Sporting Braga vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
63.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
ATL
2 - 2
SPB
70%
16%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
SPB
0 - 0
SPC
50%
21%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
FCP
6 - 1
SPB
75%
14%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
SPB
1 - 3
BOA
61%
19%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
ATL
3 - 0
SPB
73%
15%
13%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
SLB
5 - 2
ORI
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
ACA
0 - 3
SLB
25%
19%
56%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
ATL
3 - 4
SLB
27%
20%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
SLB
4 - 1
SPC
86%
9%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
SLB
5 - 1
ACA
86%
9%
6%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | -1 |