Sporting Braga vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
59.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1949 |
SPC
3 - 1
SPB
50%
19%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
SPB
1 - 0
BEL
33%
23%
44%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
SLB
4 - 0
SPB
88%
8%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
SPB
3 - 1
BEL
20%
21%
59%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
OLH
3 - 2
SPB
70%
15%
15%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1949 |
SLB
2 - 1
ATL
90%
7%
4%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1949 |
VST
0 - 5
SLB
21%
19%
61%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
SLB
9 - 3
MAR
88%
8%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
SLB
13 - 1
ACV
90%
7%
4%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
SLB
4 - 0
SPB
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |