Sporting Braga vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SCP
3 - 2
SPB
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SPB
3 - 0
ACA
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
VST
1 - 1
SPB
36%
28%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
SPB
2 - 1
BEL
69%
19%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2015 |
SPB
1 - 1
PAÇ
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 2
ARO
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 0
EST
26%
28%
46%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 2
ARO
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
POR
4 - 1
ARO
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ARO
4 - 1
MAR
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |