Sporting Braga vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SPB
0 - 1
SCP
43%
24%
33%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2015 |
SPB
7 - 1
BEL
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
SPB
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
UNM
2 - 1
SPB
23%
26%
51%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2014 |
SPB
3 - 0
PAÇ
64%
21%
16%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ACA
2 - 2
PAÇ
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 0
ACA
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 1
PEN
51%
28%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
GFC
1 - 1
ACA
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ACA
0 - 3
FCP
12%
21%
67%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |