Sporting Braga vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
PSG
0 - 0
SPB
63%
23%
15%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
EST
2 - 2
SPB
31%
30%
39%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2009 |
SPB
1 - 0
VIT
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
SDL
1 - 1
SPB
61%
24%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
NAV
1 - 2
SPB
31%
29%
40%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 0
TRO
54%
27%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 1
ACA
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ACA
3 - 1
MAR
38%
29%
34%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2009 |
VST
2 - 1
ACA
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 0
ACA
43%
28%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |